Monday, August 25, 2008

US Market tries to make a comeback

 Friday's gain fails to wipe out the weekly losses

Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae remained the headlines during the course of the week that ended on Friday, 22 August, 2008. The battered financial sector, negative data on the housing front, volatile crude prices and a few earning reports dominated the headlines during the week. Dollar remained relatively strong though lost 1.2% to the euro during the course of the week. Stocks at Wall Street registered losses on all the days of the week barring the last day, Friday, 22 August. Volume of trading remained relatively light during the course of the week.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 31.84 points for the week to end at 11,628.06. Tech - heavy Nasdaq lost 37.81 points at 2,414.71. S&P 500 lost 6 points to end at 1,292.2.

The financials sector continued to be under pressure even today after Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac reports that they will need to be bailed out by the federal government sooner than was previously thought. This continued to create turmoil in the finance sector off and on.

The sector also came under pressure after Bank of America was named in The Wall Street Journal as being the focus of increased probes from the New York Attorney General regarding auction rate securities. S&P Financial sector dropped 2.4% and 6.5%, respectively, in the first two days of trading.

In the US stock market on Friday, 22 August, despite low volumes, US stocks rallied. The rally was broad based and there were a couple of catalysts for the rally. Comments from famous investor Warren Buffet and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke gave US stocks a good reason to rally on Friday. The dollar also strengthened and financial sector also climbed up on reports that Korea Development Bank has shown interest in acquiring Lehman Brothers.

The Dow Jones industrial Average ended the day with a gain of 197.85 points at 11,628.06. The Nasdaq Composite Index, finished higher by 34.3 points at 2,414.71. S&P 500 finished higher by 14.48 points at 1,292.2.

Famed investor Warren Buffett stated in an interview that Fannie Mae and Freddie Macare looking for private investment and also offered positive comments on the attractive values currently offered by stocks and said that he doesn't have any bets against the dollar.

Elsewhere, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Friday that the declines in commodity prices and the stability of the dollar are encouraging as their trends are likely to slow inflation. He also stated that inflation will be further helped as the U.S. economy falls short of its growth potential for a time. Still, the inflation outlook is highly uncertain.

The economic data seen during the week were mixed, but mostly negative in nature. The Commerce Department reported that the number of new homes starting construction in July has sharply dropped. The number of new single-family permits dropped to the lowest level in 26 years. Builders are cutting back their production of new homes and trying to work off unsold inventory. Rising foreclosures on existing homes are complicating the builders' efforts to bring supply back down to meet sluggish demand. Housing starts fell 11% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 965,000 in July, 2008.It marked the lowest level for housing starts in 17 years. June's starts were revised higher to a 1.084 million annual pace. Housing starts are down 29.6% in the past year.

The Labor Department reported that U.S. producer prices rose by a bigger-than-expected 1.2% in July. It was driven higher by prices for energy, food and other products. Market was looking for an increase of 0.3% in July. Excluding food and energy, producer prices rose 0.7% in the month, which was also higher than expected. In July, energy prices rose 3.1% and food prices climbed by 0.3%.

Also, initial jobless claims for the week ending 16 August totaled 432,000, which was below the 440,000 expected. Claims fell 13,000 relative to the prior week's downwardly revised total. Still, the 4-week moving average for jobless claims advanced to 445,750 from 438,500.

In a separate report, the Conference Board in USA reported that the leading economic indicators for July dipped 0.7%. The leading index is designed to forecast turning points in the economy. Market was looking for a 0.2% decline. The report pointed to slow growth the rest of the year and possibly an economy grinding to a halt.

Among earning report for the week, Dow component Hewlett-Packard turned in another solid earnings report and provided a reassuring outlook. Meanwhile, several retailers, including Home Depot, Target and Gap reported relatively good results.

At the crude market at US on Friday, crude-oil futures dropped more than 5%, reversing the rally in the previous session, as a stronger U.S. dollar and ongoing concerns about a slowdown in demand pressured crude prices. Crude prices for October delivery closed at $114.59 (lower by $6.6 or 5.4%). For the week it managed to end higher by a little 0.6%.

Executive Summary

For the week, indices registered little losses. In percentage terms, Dow and Nasdaq lost 0.3% and 1.5% respectively. S&P 500 lost 0.5%. Negative economic reports and Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae dominated the headlines during the week which witnessed relatively less volumes in trading. Indices registered gains only on the last day of the week.

For the year, Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500 are down by 12.3%, 12% and 9% respectively.

Developments surrounding the Government sponsored enterprises (GSEs) will be the thing to watch in the coming week, along with oil prices and some key economic reports for existing home sales, new home sales, Q2 GDP (revised), and personal income and spending.

Fresh flowers for Monday morning

Stretching his hand out to catch the stars, he forgets the flowers at his feet.

With bulls and the bears appearing to be unsure of their plan of action, it might help to take a fresh approach to your investments. While it is good to take a long term approach in equities, no harm in picking up some flowers (stocks for short term) on the way, keeping it in your vase as long as they look good and fresh and getting rid of it they moment it loses appeal. For picking stars, you have all the time and India Infoline research to help you. Selective buying can be done at lower levels. But, be sure to lock in some gains after every spurt. The key levels to watch on the Nifty are 4150 on the downside and 4650 on the higher side.

The bulls are constrained by concerns over deteriorating macro-economic picture, persistent FII outflows and grim global scenario. The bears are edgy due to the correction in the commodity complex, particularly in crude oil, which is powering the current rally in equities. As a result, the market may remain sideways for a while until we get a fresh trigger, for a move either way. The market is precariously poised at this stage, and the risk of a sharp dip and an upsurge are evenly balanced.

Global factors will continue to drive the sentiment, along with local issues such as fears of another round of monetary tightening. Corporate earnings, politics and of course the Indo-US nuke deal are some of the other key events.

Today, we expect the market to extend Friday's late rebound, purely on the basis of a global rally. Crude oil, which surged above $121 per barrel on Aug. 21, has slid back to $114 levels. The bulls may end on a high note today, and perhaps during the week if oil doesn't rebound again.

We will have the F&O expiry on Thursday. The rollovers have been quite low, reinforcing the view that neither the bulls nor the bears are willing to carry forward their positions into September. So, no major upheavals are expected on the derivative side of the market.

FIIs were net sellers of Rs2.39bn (provisional) in the cash segment on Friday. Local institutions were net buyers of Rs4.5bn. In the F&O segment, the foreign funds were net sellers of Rs5.94bn. On Thursday, the FIIs were net sellers of Rs2.78bn in the cash segment. Mutual Funds were net sellers of Rs975mn.

Tata Motors will remain in the thick of things due to the ongoing Singur imbroglio and other fundamental factors. Kolte Patil could come under some pressure amid reports that its JV plans with a UK firm for hospitality business are in disarray. Zensar Tech might gain amid reports of the company scouting for acquisitions abroad. CCCL is likely to advance as it has emerged as the lowest bidder for Terminal building works at the Chennai airport in partnership with Canada's Herve Pomerleau International.

Jet Airways could be in action amid reports of a merger with low-cost arm JetLite and another round of hike in air fares. Cement stocks might attract some attention as reports suggest companies are likely to raise prices soon. Steel companies will remain in focus amid continuing friction with the Government over product prices. Ditto with sugar shares, as the Government is considering moves to check rising prices.

Asian stocks were up smartly this morning, helping the region's benchmark index rebound from a two-year low, after oil slumped and on speculation that a possible investment in Lehman Brothers will ease concerns over credit losses.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index gained 1% to 122.84 as of 10:06 a.m. in Tokyo, rebounding from a four-week, 8.5% decline that sent the index to the lowest since July 24, 2006. Energy companies were the only gauge to decline among the index's 10 industry groups.

The Nikkei in Tokyo was last up 1.8% while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong jumped by nearly 3%. The Shanghai Composite in China gained 1.25% while the Kospi in Seoul rose 0.6%. The Straits Times in Singapore was up 1% while the Taiex in Taiwan advanced 1.4%.

US shares jumped on Friday after oil prices slumped and the dollar strengthened. Shares of financial companies advanced amid growing speculation over the buyout of Lehman Brothers. Encouraging comments from Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke on inflation also boosted sentiment at the end of a tough week.

The S&P 500 Index added 14.48 points, or 1.1%, to 1,292.20. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 197.85 points, or 1.7%, to 11,628.06. The Nasdaq Composite rose 34 points or 1.4% to end at 2,414.

Market breadth was positive and volume was light. Only 888mn shares changed hands on the New York Stock Exchange, the fewest for a full trading session since December 26, 2007. Volume this week was 35% less than the year-to-date average.

The Dow posted a 0.3% weekly drop, while the Nasdaq was down 1.5%. The S&P 500 shed 0.5% over the past five days, its first weekly drop since July.

Oil prices slid, erasing the previous day's rally, as a stronger US currency weighed on dollar-denominated commodity prices.

US light crude oil for October delivery fell US$6.59 or 5.4% to settle at US$114.59 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, posting its biggest one-day slide in dollars since 1991. Crude oil has tumbled since peaking at US$147.27 per barrel on July 11.

Retail gas prices dropped overnight, extending the downward trend for a 36th day, according to a survey of gas station credit-card activity.

In the bond market, Treasury prices fell, raising the yield on the benchmark 10-year note to 3.86% from 3.83% late on Wednesday. COMEX gold for October delivery fell US$10.90 to US$824.10 an ounce.

European shares gained on Friday, buoyed by strength in banks, autos and airlines. The pan-European Dow Jones Stoxx 600 index gained 1.4% to 282.29 as banks snapped a three-session losing streak. The UK's FTSE 100 climbed 1.7% at 5,462.70, while Germany's DAX 30 advanced 1.6% to 6,335.65 and the French CAC-40 rose 1.6% to 4,374.17.

Emerging markets finished mixed. Brazil's Bovespa was down 0.15% to 55,850 while Mexico's IPC index was up 1.3% at 26,875. The RTS index in Russia gained 1.2% to 1701 and the ISE National-30 index in Turkey rallied 3.3% to 50,513.

Markets may advance further

It was a sweet end to the last trading session of the week with key indices finishing on a positive note. However on the whole Sensex and Nifty lost over 2% during the week.

Markets players shrugged off spike in the inflation, crude oil prices and weak Asian markets and ended with healthy gains.

Volatility was visible throughout the trading session; however, buying momentum in the metal, banking and FMCG stocks kept the uptrend going.

Among the 30-components of Sensex, 24 stocks were in the green and only 6 stocks were in red. Reliance Industries, HDFC, Infosys and HDFC Bank were among the major gainers. On the other hand, Satyam, L&T and NTPC were among the major laggards.

Finally, the benchmark Sensex gained 157 points to close at 14,401 and Nifty ended 43 points higher to close at 4,327.

Shares of BEML have gained by a percent to Rs726 after the Railway Board announced that it is placing developmental order for six rakes. These SS EMUs will be replacing the existing corten steel EMUs in a phased manner now running in Mumbai and Chennai suburbs. The total requirement is of 3000 cars with a business potential of Rs50bn in the coming years.

The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs740 and a low of Rs718 and recorded volumes of over 6,000 shares on BSE.

Tata Motors ended 2% higher to Rs425. The company announced that it is planning to move the small car plant from West Bengal if protests against the company continue in the state. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs428 and a low of Rs410 and recorded volumes of over 1,00,000 shares on BSE.

Shares of PVR Ltd gained by over 2% to Rs193 after the company announced that M/s. Sunrise Infotainment Pvt. Ltd. a 100% Subsidiary of PVR Ltd which operates a Six Screens Multiplex with 1,783 seats, has been granted the exemption from the payment of Entertainment Tax, by the Maharashtra Government for a period of five years w.e.f. August 20, 2008.

The exemption available to the Multiplex is as under:

For the first three year exemption is available 100% of the entertainment tax and for the Fourth & Fifth year Exemption is available 75% of the Entertainment tax. The current entertainment tax on the cinema ticket is 45% of the admission price.

The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs203 and a low of Rs186 and recorded volumes of over 43,000 shares on BSE.

Shares of IOC declined by over 4% to Rs396 after Fitch Ratings today affirmed IOC's Long-term foreign currency Issuer Default Rating at 'BBB-' (BBB minus), its National Long-term issuer rating at 'AAA(ind)', and revised the Outlook on both ratings to Negative from Stable. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs404 and a low of Rs392 and recorded volumes of over 1,00,000 shares on BSE.

Shares of Era Infra lost ground and slipped by 1% to Rs478 after the company announced that the company (Construction & Contracts Division) has bagged a contract worth Rs1.11bn for Up-gradation, renovation and new construction for Commonwealth Games 2010 in J N Stadium Sports Complex, New Delhi. SH. The scrip touched an intra-day high of Rs493 and a low of Rs472 and recorded volumes of over 26,000 shares on BSE.

Delhi High Court dismisses COAI's petition challenging government's decision to allow Reliance Communications to offer both CDMA and GSM services under a single license. (DNA)
Star Union Dai-ichi, a proposed new insurance venture promoted by Bank of India, Dai-ichi and Union Bank, to begin operations with a capital base of Rs2.5bn.(BL)
M&M is looking at launching hybrid & biofuel SUVs in the US.(ET)
NTPC plans to stay out of Reliance Industries-RNRL legal dispute.(BS)
Yes Bank plans to launch its asset reconstruction business by year-end.(Mint)
Maharashtra chief minister has offered to host Tata Motors' Nano project in the state.(ET)
Tata Tea is scouting for acquisitions in the US and Russia.(DNA)
Lavasa Corp, an HCC group company, plans to raise more funds through an IPO.(FE)
Aditya Birla Nuvo firms up its fertilizer plans.(BS)
New Silk Route, 3i and Kotak join the race to acquire Star India's stake in Balaji Telefilms.(ET)
Air India sees a loss of US$459mn for FY08.(FE)
Piramal Life Sciences gets approval from drug controller to take forward its clinical trial on two of its molecules in India.(TOI)
Lanco Infratech to foray into solar sector.(BL)
Centre is likely to go ahead with the IPO of Satluj Jal Vidyut Nigam.(DNA)
A proxy battle breaks out for control of Gujarat Heavy Chemicals.(BS)
Bharti Airtel is studying the possibility of entering the digital cinema business.(BS)
Reliance Industries and Reliance Infrastructure are only two companies to have qualified for US$8bn coal into oil project.(TOI)
Marico shelves price hike plan.(ET)
BSEL Infrastructure Realty will develop a high-rise residential apartment complex in Malaysia.(BL)
Videocon says it would go ahead with its proposed Rs80bn LCD and semi-conductor production facility in Maharashtra.(FE)
Take Solutions to invest Rs300mn in a new facility in the SEZ at Shriram Gateway near Chennai.(BL)
ONGC Videsh may take a Russian partner to counter Chinese firm Sinopec in the battle for acquisition of Imperial Energy.(FE)
Phoenix Mills is setting up a Rs8.5bn mall and IT park in Chennai.(BL)
MCX to launch futures trading in three farm products by next month.(TOI)
Tata Motors to cut Jaguar, Land Rover production.(BS)
GVK-promoted Mumbai International Airport is likely to get approval from civil aviation ministry for hiking aeronautical charges by 10%.(DNA)
Daiichi-Ranbaxy FDI plan may be placed before Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs.(BL)
Air fares likely to go up further by 10% according to CEO of Jet Airways.(FE)
Commercial vehicle maker Eicher Motors says its has finalized JV deal with Swedish truck maker A B Volvo for making trucks and buses.(DNA)
Radico Khaitan to launch two premium brands in the next fifteen months.(ET)
Tata Motors launches new version, 'Indica Vista', of its flagship passenger car.(BL)
Opto Circuits in talks to acquire European firm.(ET)
Zensar Technologies is scouting for acquisitions in Germany or Switzerland.(ET)
Jetlite may merged with Jet Airways this year.(ET)
Tatas in the lead for Tamil Nadu SEZ.(TOI)
California Software Co., a Chennai-based software services firm, is close to buying a UK-based firm for US$60mn.(DNA)
ONGC Videsh mulls buying institutional holding in Imperial Energy.(BS)
JK Lakshmi Cement lines up Rs10bn for 5 RMC plants.(BS)
Hindalco Industries has got 50% of its Rs49.9bn rights issue underwritten.(BS)
Tata Motors seeks concession in Uttarakhand.(BS)
Aksh Optifibre plans to close funding worth US$50-80mn to finance its IPTV rollout.(DNA)

Economy Front page

Government mulls launching a scheme for supply of 0.4mn tonnes of subsidized pulses, with a subsidy component of Rs 10,000 per tonne.(BL)
Government is considering re-imposition of 15% export duty on flat steel products.(ET)
Corporate tax collections between April to July 2008 witnessed combined growth rate for advance tax and TDS at 40.3% as against 34.3% in the same period last fiscal.(FE)
Power import policy on cards to boost hydropower development in Himalayan-rim countries for facilitating electricity inflows into India.(BL)
Railways to invest Rs6.5bn to improve port connectivity.(BS)
Railways to commercialize surplus land; to generate Rs40bn in 2008-09.(FE)
IRDA notifies major changes in the investment norms for insurers that will help companies diversify risks.(ET)
DoT set to allocate start up spectrum to companies in Maharashtra, Mumbai, Kolkata and Madhya Pradesh.(Mint)
NCAER projects moderation in GDP growth to 7.8% for current fiscal from earlier estimate of 8.8%.(TOI)
Government set to decontrol pricing of coal, including coal from captive mines.(ET)
Government may release additional sugar in open market.(ET)
SEZ investments to cross Rs2tn by end of 2009.(FE)
Government asks steel companies to cut prices in line with falling global trend.(BL)
Gujarat to float agro-business policy soon.(BS)
Commerce ministry says deemed export benefits can be enjoyed by mega power plants if international competitive bids norms are followed either at the stage power selling or engineering contracts.(ET)
Government pushing to implement the deadline for implementing mandatory blending of 10% ethanol in petrol to next year.(BL)

Market may start buoyant

The benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty, are expected to commence on a firm note and witness significant rally during intra-day trades, as international markets backed by firm US and Asian indices may help the sentiment remain buoyant. Among the Asian majors, Hangsang Index has surged 2.74% at 20951.08 while Nikkei & Straits Times Index has scaled up above 1% each. On the technical front, the Nifty could test in the 4400-4435 range on the upside and has supports in the 4280 - 4250 range, while the Sensex has a likely support at 14220 and may face resistance at 14550.

US indices posted significant gains on Friday on sharp slump in oil prices. As a result, the Dow Jones flared up by 198 points at 11,628, while the Nasdaq added 34 points to close at 2415.

All of the Indian ADRs traded firm on the US bourses except Rediff. Tata Motors led the pack with gains of 4.30% while Infosys, Wipro, HDFC Bank, VSNL, Dr Reddy, ICICI Bank and MTNL gained around 1-3% each. However, Satyam and Patni Computers ended with marginal gains.

Oil prices fell steeply on Friday, as the dollar strengthened and investors worried that a decline in demand will spread outside the United States. Crude oil prices for September delivery fell $6.59 to close at $114.59 a barrel. In the commodity space, the Comex gold for December delivery declined $5.50 to settle at $833.50 an ounce.

Greaves Cotton

 Emkay recommended a BUY on Greaves Cotton at the current market price of Rs 175.

The analysts at Emkay say that Greaves Cotton`s (GCL) Q1FY09 results are below their expectations. Both infrastructure equipment division and the engines segment reported disappointing set of numbers. Revenues for Q4FY08 grew by 13.5% to Rs 3.2 billion as compared to Rs 2.8 billion in the same quarter last year. The company recorded PAT of Rs 264.5 million for the quarter, a decline of 22.3%.

For FY08 the company has reported muted growth of 9.4% to Rs 13.5 billion. The analysts say that due to high raw material prices, EBITDA margins contracted by 150bps, resulting in EBIDTA of Rs 1.6 billion. Net Profit was down by 14.3% to Rs 1.1 billion. FY08 was primarily driven by strong performance on Infrastructure Equipment Division. However with slowdown in construction activity, especially the road construction segment, the growth of this division will be impacted going ahead. Also, engines business will primarily be driven by launch of twin cylinder engine. The analysts say that they will revise their numbers downwards due to slow growth in the Infrastructure Equipment Division due to slow down in construction space, especially roads and real estate and higher base impact. The stock trades at 8.3x FY08 earnings.

Crude gives up more than previous day's gains

Prices settle lower as tensions between Georgia and Russia ease and dollar strengthens

Crude oil prices registered substantial drop on Friday 22 August, 2008 as tensions between Russia and Georgia eased. Prices also fell as the dollar strengthened against its rivals, mainly the British pound. At the end, prices ended marginally higher for the week.

Crude-oil futures for light sweet crude for October delivery closed at $114.59/barrel (lower by $6.62 or 5.4%) on the New York Mercantile Exchange. A day earlier, on Thursday, prices had shot up by almost $5.6. For the week, crude prices ended higher by 0.6%. Crude had lost $15.92 (11%) in July, 2008, the biggest ever in dollars. Prices are 68% higher than a year ago. Prices reached a high of $147 on 11 July but have dropped 21% since then.

At the currency markets on Friday, the U.S. dollar rose strongly mainly against the British pound. The pound lost ground after revised data showed the U.K. economy ground to a halt in the second quarter. The move aided a broad rebound by the dollar, which was also buoyed by falling crude-oil prices and a round of weak industrial new orders data for the euro zone. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of currencies, was at 76.81, up from 76.030 a day before.

Concerns over Russia's conflict with Georgia also eased a bit on Friday, after reports that Russia said its pullback from most Georgian territories was complete.

The Energy Information Administration reported last Wednesday that motor gasoline supplies dropped for a fourth straight week but crude supplies rose the most in a week since 2001.

In a monthly oil report issued last week, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said that oil demand has been "badly hurt" this summer by the slowing economy and high oil prices. Transport and industrial fuels declined the most, sending USA's total oil demand down by 3.8%, or 0.8 million barrels per day in the first seven months of the year.

Crude prices had gained 38% in the second quarter of this year. It was the biggest quarterly increase in nine years. It ended June 2008 higher by 9.9%. For the year, crude is up by 12% till date.

Against this background, September reformulated gasoline closed down 17.7 cents, or 5.8%, to end at $2.8686 a gallon. It was still 0.3% higher for the week. September heating oil slipped by 17 cents, or 5.1%, to end at $3.1311 a gallon, finishing 0.4% higher for the week.

September natural gas slid 40.9 cents to close at $7.843 per million British thermal units. It ended the week with a loss of 3.1%.

At the MCX, crude oil for September delivery closed at Rs 4,998/barrel, lower by Rs 73 (1.43%) against previous day's close. Natural gas for October delivery closed at Rs 358.7/mmbtu, lower by Rs 3.8/mmbtu (1.04%).

A dull day for bullion metals

 Gold and silver drop on Friday but manage to gain for the week

The strong dollar and falling crude prices once again took their toll on bullion metals on Friday, 22 August, 2008 and both gold and silver losses for the day but gained for the week that ended on that day. Barring five sessions, gold and silver prices had registered losses in all the trading sessions in the current month of August, 2008. Silver prices also fell on Friday.

On Friday, Comex Gold for December delivery fell $5.5 (0.65%) to close at $833.5 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It fell to an intra day low price of $828 earlier. For the week, the yellow metal ended higher by 5.2%. With Friday's loss, gold has lost 9.1% in August, 2008 till date. On 17 March, 2008 prices had skyrocketed to a high of $1,034/ounce. But prices have dropped significantly (18.65%) since then.

This year, gold prices have lost a marginal 0.4% till date as the dollar rallied against the euro. It has lost almost $88 in August till now. Gold ended July, 2008 lower by $11 (1.1%).

Prior to that, the yellow metal ended second quarter with a marginal gain of 0.7%. It ended June, 2008 with a gain of 4.1%. In May, it ended with a gain of higher by $22.5 (2.5%). Before May, in April, prices closed lower by 6.3%. For first quarter prices gained 10.7%. In January, prices gained 11%, the highest monthly gain since April 2006. For February, it gained 6%. But in March, prices succumbed and fell by 5.5%.

On Friday, Comex silver futures for September delivery fell 25 cents (1.8%) to $13.477 an ounce. A day before silver registered largest one day gain in almost two years. With Friday's loss today's rise silver has lost almost 9% in 2008 till date. It ended July 2008 with a gain of 3%. For the second quarter, it had gained a paltry 1.4%. Silver had gained 16% in Q1. The metal also had gained for seven straight years.

Gold and silver prices have dropped 19% and 33% from their all time highs that they reached earlier this year.

Generally, a stronger dollar pressures demand for dollar-denominated commodities, such as crude oil and gold, which become more expensive for holders of other currencies. On the other hand, a lower dollar pushes up precious metal prices as their demand lessens as it becomes cheaper for traders holding other currencies. Gold has traditionally been used as a safe-haven asset against rising inflation. Investor sentiments are boosted by the fact that gold and silver are alternate sources of good investment in the face of declining dollar and rising energy prices and vice versa.

At the currency markets on Friday, the U.S. dollar rose strongly mainly against the British pound. The pound lost ground after revised data showed the U.K. economy ground to a halt in the second quarter. The move aided a broad rebound by the dollar, which was also buoyed by falling crude-oil prices and a round of weak industrial new orders data for the euro zone. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of currencies, was at 76.81, up from 76.030 a day before.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Friday that the declines in commodity prices and the stability of the dollar are encouraging as their trends are likely to slow inflation. He also stated that inflation will be further helped as the U.S. economy falls short of its growth potential for a time. Still, the inflation outlook is highly uncertain.

At the crude market on Friday, crude-oil futures dropped more than 5%, reversing the rally in the previous session, as a stronger U.S. dollar and ongoing concerns about a slowdown in demand pressured crude prices. Crude prices for October delivery closed at $114.59 (lower by $6.6 or 5.4%). For the week it managed to end higher by a little 0.6%. Prices also fell after tensions between Georgia and Russia eased a bit with the later pulling out its forces from Georgia borders.

Earlier this year, the weakening dollar and higher global demand for raw materials had led to records this year for commodities including gold. Gold reached a record in March as a U.S. housing slump and credit crisis spurred the Federal Reserve to slash borrowing costs. The Federal Reserve halted cuts to its target bank lending rate in April, after slicing it in seven steps to 2% from 5.25% in September.

Gold had witnessed the greatest annual gain in twenty eight years by gaining $200/ounce (31%) in FY 2007 as lower interest rates had sent the dollar tumbling, and crude-oil prices rose to a record. Silver had climbed 16% in FY 2007. In 2006, silver had jumped 46% while gold gained 23%.

At the MCX, gold prices for October delivery closed lower by Rs 6 (0.05%) at Rs 11,701 per 10 grams. Prices rose to a high of Rs 11,707 per 10 grams and fell to a low of Rs 11,653 per 10 grams during the day's trading.

At the MCX, silver prices for September delivery closed Rs 63 (0.31%) lower at Rs 20,053/Kg. Prices opened at Rs 20,024/kg and fell to a low of Rs 19,951/Kg during the day's trading.

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala - Bullish long term

Stock markets in the country will remain bullish in the long run but with intermittent downtrends as they are facing now, according to equity investor Rakesh Jhunjhunwala.

"I strongly believe that India's economic growth is based on structural factors and not on cyclical factors. I see no reason why the stock markets cannot remain bullish," Jhunjhunwala said at "Sensational Sensex-Retrospect and Prospect," as part of the Thought Leader Lecture Series, organised by CII, Hyderabad Chapter here.

Jhunjhunwala said his predictions were based on factors like strong economic growth, superb corporate performance, huge under-exposure to equities, growth in financial savings and tectonic shift of investments from the western world to emerging markets like India.

The only problem is to predict how frequently and for how long would markets experience bearish trends, he added.

Terming the Sensex as "sensational", for the kind of returns it has offered investors over the last 29 years, he said no other investments on any sector would have given about 18 per cent compound return on investments per annum for the last three decades as the Indian stock markets have.

He pointed out that India enjoys certain growth enablers such as its culture of tolerance, educational base, skilled individuals, economic factors like a well-developed entrepreneurial class, vast natural resources, strong resilience, strong democratic foundations, secular fabric, young population and finally its nuclear power.

All these would definiely catapult the sensex in the coming years, he added.

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala at CII - Sensational Sensex - Retrospect and Prospect

The Indian stock market is a function of the country's economic growth, return on equity and return on capital employed, said Mr Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, Partner, RARE Enterprises and eminent equity investor.

Delivering a lecture organised by Confederation of Indian Industry titled 'Sensational Sensex – Retrospect and Prospect' he said: "Also, infrastructure to attract local money, growth of the Indian financial savings, correction of Indian under-exposure to equities are some of the other factors that will drive the markets," he said.

He said the movement of the Sensex from 3,000 to 21,000 over a five-year period (2003-2007) and now back to 14,000 was no mean achievement.

"In this entire journey, we have had a few significant price-wise corrections but almost no time-wise correction. This is the first significant time-wise and price-wise correction being witnessed," he said.

Analysing the genesis of the Indian downturn, Mr Jhunjhunwala said, until now we have had three bear markets. "In April 1992, the peak PE was at 63.1 per cent and we have the scam of Mr Harshad Mehta, then in 1994 we peaked at 42 times the earnings, then in December 1999 we peaked at 30 times the earning and had the Ketan Parekh scam. In 2008, we peaked at 21 times the earnings with no scams. While there was euphoria and mania, this time we have peaked at a far more reasonable valuation and are still below peak PE levels of the past," he said.
Factors to watch

According to Mr Jhunjhunwala, the key factors to watch for are the US economy and world slowdown, global financial system stability, commodity prices, local and global inflation. "Also political elections, the performance of the Indian IT sector, base forming patterns in equity indices and Indian and foreign fund flows are other key factors to watch for the markets," he said.

He noted that the aftermath of the 25-year-old US bull market cannot be pretty and the end of the easy money era in the financial markets will shake many out of complacency.

Kingfisher Airlines goes global in September

Kingfisher Airlines on Friday announced that it would launch international service from India with the debut of daily non-stop flights between Bangalore and London-Heathrow on September 3. Tickets are now on sale for the new route. The flight from Bangalore will depart at 8.40 am and arrive at London Heathrow's Terminal 4 at 2.50 pm, local time. The return flight will depart Heathrow at 10.05 pm and arrive in Bangalore the next day at 12.35 pm, local time. The flights will be operated using a brand new Airbus A330-200. The airline has also secured permission to fly to 13 overseas destinations, according to a business daily. Kingfisher plans to launch flights to the US, UK, UAE, Singapore, Thailand, Maldives, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bangladesh, Malaysia, Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Hong Kong, it added.

Motherson Sumi

Investors with a long-term perspective can consider exposure to the Motherson Sumi stock. At the current market price of Rs 80, the stock trades at a price-earnings multiple of about 15 (estimated FY-10 earnings). Though this valuation may seem expensive when compared to other auto component players, the company's market leadership position in the wiring harness segment and focus on the supply of higher margin assemblies and modules justifies the premium valuation the company enjoys.

This, along with the foray into the non-auto segment provides visibility to the company's earnings prospects in the next few years.
Higher volumes, better realisations expected

Motherson Sumi has around 65 per cent share in the domestic market in supplying wiring harness, high tension cords, wires and fuses to auto makers such as Maruti, Hyundai, Honda, Toyota, M&M and General Motors.

The steady demand for passenger cars, despite a slowdown in the two-wheelers and commercial vehicles segment, capacity expansion and the planned introduction of models by Maruti and Hyundai, augur well for the company as it would lead to strong volume growth in the next few years.

0Both carmakers have also made India the global manufacturing hub for small cars. Besides, with Nissan and Volkswagen foraying into the Indian market, the company is likely to supply to them as well, given the existing relationship of its collaborator, Sumitomo Wiring Systems (SWS), with these companies.

The company will also benefit from the trend of automakers introducing new safety and comfort features, as these features demand more complex wiring harnesses. This value-addition, in turn, may lead to better realisations for the company.

Apart from supplying domestically, the company has strong export sales, supplying wiring harness to motorcycle (30 per cent market share), tractor and off-road vehicle manufacturers in Europe. It also serves as a sourcing base for its collaborators.

Supplies to SWS are expected to further strengthen in the coming years as Motherson Sumi has already entered into a joint venture with SWS-Sharjah to service SWS's European clients. The group is also hoping to locate about 85 per cent of its wiring harness production outside of Japan from 2008 and, India, as a preferred low-cost destination, may benefit from this.
Likely margin boost from polymers

In a bid to expand its product portfolio, the company also supplies injection and blow moulded components and assemblies and integrated modules such as door trims to auto makers. The increasing use of plastic content in cars so as to reduce costs and weight will translate into good business for this division. This bodes well for margin expansion as well, as supply of assemblies and modules bring in higher margins than components. The polymers division now accounts for about 25 per cent of the revenues.
More content per car

The company has a policy of increasing its content supplied per car by entering into joint ventures (JVs) with leading Tier-I suppliers. For the manufacture of rubber parts, the company is in a JV with WOCO of Germany. About 10 per cent of the revenues now come from the supply of rubber components.

Similarly, the company, last year entered into a JV with Calsonic Kansei, a global component manufacturer specialising in climate control systems and power-train cooling modules.

This JV will initially manufacture automotive AC units for Japanese car manufacturers in India. Production is slated to start in 2009.

Such a growth strategy will give the company access to latest technology, expand its clientele and bring more business from existing clients. This strategy is in sync with the company's plans to emerge as a complete, full systems solutions provider.
Diversification moves

To further shield itself from any slowdown in the auto sector, the company has entered into a joint venture with Balda AG of Germany to manufacture components for mobile handsets in India.

The company is also manufacturing Aerobin, a garbage disposal machine for the Australian market. This diversification primarily arises from the company's core capacity to manufacture plastic components. But the contribution to revenues from these forays remains to be seen.
Financials

For the quarter-ended June 2008, net sales grew by 15 per cent to Rs 346 crore compared to the same period a year ago. While domestic sales grew by 10 per cent, exports rose by 32 per cent.

Being the market leader, the company has been able to pass on input cost increase to its customers, keeping the impact on profits minimal. But what has actually pulled down the net profits from about Rs 30 crore in the June 2007 quarter to Rs 12.7 crore in the current quarter is a forex loss of Rs 25 crore on account of restatement of liabilities.

Elecon Engineering

Investments can be retained in the stock of Elecon Engineering, an established player in both material handling equipment (MHE) and industrial gears business. At the current market price of Rs 112, the stock trades at about 11 times its likely FY-10 per share earnings, down significantly from its peak of Rs 330 in January. While much of this fall can be explained by the broad-based selling in the market, the stock was also beaten down in anticipation of slowing demand and contraction in margins for the company, as there was a sharp run up in steel price during the period.

These concerns have, however, partly receded with the company's good first quarter earnings performance. In the June quarter, not only did Elecon manage to strengthen its order-book; it also bettered its profit margins. This lends confidence to the company's ability to grow despite challenging macro environment.

Further, Elecon's entry into new businesses — windmills and windmill gear boxes — while currently insignificant in terms of revenue contribution, holds potential to deliver strong long-term growth, thus making it worthwhile to remain invested in the stock.
Fragmented user base

Unlike other infrastructure and capital goods companies, Elecon caters to a fragmented user industry base made up of power, steel, cement, sugar, mining and ports. This may explain why the company has so far not encountered any significant slowdown in the overall demand for its products. Apart from the power sector and, to some extent, cement, no other sector contributes significantly to the company's overall revenue pie. That the company is now slowly increasing its focus on the steel sector (recently bagged Rs 400-crore worth orders from Bramhani Industries) may help it weather any slowdown in the cement sector, where the capex cycle may be nearing its peak.
Results

For the quarter-ended June 2008, Elecon registered a 30 per cent growth in sales and 15 per cent increase in profits. On a segmental basis, while the MHE division grew by 58 per cent, the gears division witnessed a sedate growth of 8 per cent.

On the margins front, however, the company's performance was commendable. Despite mounting pressure on input costs, Elecon improved its margins by 2 percentage points to about 17 per cent. Price escalation clauses for orders secured from NTPC and SEBs (State electricity boards) and higher margins for the remaining orders helped it improve margins. And given that steel, its primary raw material, is showing signs of cooling down, Elecon may well be able to sustain margins at the current levels in the coming quarters too.
Buoyant order book

The strong growth in Elecon's order-book is testimony to the continuing demand for its products. At the end of the first quarter, Elecon had an unexecuted order-book of Rs 1,399 crore (1.7 times FY-08 sales), of which Rs 1,158 crore (83 per cent) came from its material handling division; on a year-on-year basis, this marks a growth of over 61 per cent in its order-book. However, there was a 37 per cent drop in orders booked during the quarter. This is in sharp contrast to the same quarter last year when the revenues booked had increased by a whopping 139 per cent. High base apart, the drop this time around can be partly attributed to delays in booking orders in the quarter.

While this can also be construed as slowdown in demand, that the company has, in the recent past, procured large orders and has suggested that it has quite a few orders in the pipeline, may provide some relief.
New business initiatives

Elecon's entry into windmills and windmill gear boxes holds tremendous long-term growth potential, given the global supply constraints for gearboxes. While Elecon is yet to forge a technical tie-up for the same, it has indicated that the formal agreement should be in place by the end of this quarter.

The management has said that it has begun prototyping for windmill gear boxes of about 1 MW range for its customer. Further, it has already installed six wind turbine generators in Gujarat and supplied four in Maharashtra. The windmill gear box division is expected to be fully operational by next quarter.

The success of these new initiatives is extremely critical for Elecon as its revenue guidance for the next two years takes into account contribution from these businesses as well.

And since there have been delays in this regard — one of the reasons for the stock's plunge — progress on execution and order booking in this segment may be key triggers to the stock price. Any further delay will pose a downside risk to the company's revenues.
Concerns

Any significant slowdown in the economy, leading to a sharp slowdown in capex across sectors, can hamper the growth prospects of Elecon. While the company has remained unscathed from the impact of a slowing economy, the lag effect of higher interest rates may soon catch up.

On this score, growth in the company's order-book provides comfort on revenues over the next two years, by which time there may be more clarity on the economy front. Till such time, trends in order-booking in the coming quarters need to be watched closely.

iPhone launched in India sans mass hysteria

Apple's iconic 3G iPhone made its debut in India, sans the public frenzy that greeted its worldwide debut last month, as a steep price and mixed reviews kept potential buyers at bay. Vodafone Essar, the Indian unit of the UK-based wireless major and Bharti Airtel, India's leading GSM operator, launched the latest version of Apple's smart phone in the country on August 22. The 8GB 3G iPhone is available in India at Rs31,000 while the 16GB model will cost Rs36,100. The same handsets in the US are cheaper. The 8GB model retails for US$199 and the 16GB model for US$299. So, people in India will think twice before they spend such large amount on the snazzy iPhone. Airtel claims 200,000 customers have registered for the iPhone, Vodafone has reportedly registered half this number.

Inflation climbs to 12.63%

India's inflation, based on the wholesale price index (WPI), climbed to a 16-year high in the second week of August, mainly due to rising food prices, raising concerns about a possible tightening of monetary policy over the next few months. The annual point-to-point inflation rose to 12.63% in the week ended August 9 from 12.44% in the previous week, the Commerce Ministry said. The WPI moved up marginally by 0.12%, to 240.7 from 240.4 in the week ending August 2. In the 'Primary Articles' group, the annual inflation increased to 11.83% from 11.43% reported last week. In the commodity group 'Fuel & Power' group, the rate of inflation at 17.99% remained unchanged at previous week's level. Prices of all the 19 commodities remained unchanged. In the case of 'Manufactured Products', inflation increased to 10.91% from 10.75% in previous two weeks. Inflation rate for 30 essential commodities increased slightly to 6.74% from 6.54% in the previous week. Prices of these commodities, which include foodgrains, pulses, edible oils, vegetables, dairy products etc have more or less stabilised.

Tata Steel

Investors can consider buying the Tata Steel stock trading at Rs 594, which is a price-earnings multiple of eight times its standalone earnings and about five times its likely consolidated earnings for FY-09 . The company's integrated operations, access to captive raw material sources, high operating efficiency and wide geographical footprint are the key advantages.

Capacity expansion plans and strategic moves to secure raw material sources in a strong demand environment, augur well for volume growth and stability in profit margins. A global footprint enables Tata Steel to gain from growth opportunities and better pricing power in markets outside India.
Business overview

On a standalone basis, Tata Steel derives 84 per cent of revenues from its steel division and the rest from products such as tubes, ferro alloys and minerals.

It now has capacity to produce five million tonnes (MT) of steel, which is slated to increase to 6.8 MT, as new capacities are commissioned by end-September 2008.

Tata Steel has set a target to achieve a capacity of 100 MT by 2015, through an equal balance of greenfield and acquired capacities. Greenfield expansions are to be carried out through integrated steel plants of 12 mtpa in Jharkhand, 5 mtpa in Chhattisgarh and 6 mtpa in Orissa. Forays into the titanium dioxide business in Tuticorin and Tirunelveli (Tamil Nadu), ferro-chrome plant in South Africa and setting up of a deep-sea port in Dhamra (coastal Orissa) are also on the anvil.
Inorganic growth

Tata Steel has aggressively pursued an inorganic growth strategy to add capacity. Overseas acquisitions have added to capacity in a big way — including Corus (20 MT), Natsteel (2 MT) and Tata Steel (Thailand), earlier Millennium Steel (1.7 MT). Tata Steel has been investing in those countries where the markets, coupled with the consumption of steel, have been growing. Its recent joint venture pact with Vietnam Steel Corporation and Vietnam Cement Industries Corporation to establish a complex in the Ha Tinh province in Vietnam may allow entry into a market, where consumption and imports have risen rapidly. Recent talks to sell the aluminium smelters of Corus show that moves have already been initiated to reduce Corus' cost structure and peg up its profitability levels in line with the parent company.

Backward integration through captive sources of raw material place Tata Steel among the lowest cost producers of steel, globally. On the domestic front, the company sources 100 per cent of iron ore and 60 per cent of coking coal requirements from captive sources, largely insulating it from the hike in input costs. On the finished products front, over 70 per cent of the steel is marketed through negotiated long-term contracts.

This reduces the vulnerability of profit margins to the short-term changes in input costs as well as market prices of steel. These factors have resulted in earnings before interest, tax and depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) margins of more than 40 per cent on the company's standalone operations, with the company actually improving margins in the June quarter.

Tata Steel's overseas operations are more exposed to raw material cost increases, as the acquired Corus facilities rely more on external sources of raw materials such as iron ore and coal.

Even the raw material security of standalone Tata Steel may come down to 40 per cent in the next three-five years with the expansion of the Jamshedpur plant and the Orissa facility going on stream. To address this, Tata Steel has identified raw material resources in the US, Africa and Australia for acquisition to ensure that around 50 per cent of the requirement for Corus is met through captive sources.

Strategic investments have been made abroad for various raw materials — low ash coal (Australia), coking coal (Mozambique), iron ore (Ivory Coast) and limestone (Oman). Presence in several overseas markets through its foreign subsidiaries, however, allows the company to benefit from rising global steel prices. Even if domestic prices continue to be held down by policy pressures, the company may be able to pass on input increases in its overseas operations.
Financials

The company managed a five-year compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.6 per cent in net sales and 35.8 per cent in profits. Operating profit margins rose from 2002-03 to 2004-05, declined marginally in 2005-06 and climbed back to 42.7 per cent in 2007-08. There was a substantial increase in the company's size after the acquisition of Corus, with the net sales increasing from Rs. 25,212 crore (2006-07) to Rs. 1,31,535 crore (2007-08). By the close of April 2008, financing for the Corus acquisition was completed with bridge funding contracted for the acquisition replaced by a mix of debt, equity and internal accruals and the non-recourse funding syndicated during the year.

The company's first quarter performance was strong with a 46 per cent increase in sales and 22 per cent rise in net profit. Segment-wise results show a 38 per cent increase in revenue in the steel division, while the ferro alloys and minerals division registered an increase of 163 per cent.
Risks and challenges

While demand prospects remain strong, the key challenges to Tata Steel's earnings outlook arise from softer trends in global steel prices, any further policy intervention to curb domestic steel prices and the currency and other risks arising from significant overseas operations.

Domestic steel producers were asked to hold their price line for three months beginning May, and have again acquiesced to hold it for the time being, from the first week of August. Moreover, the Government recently asked the steel companies to cut prices in view of the softening global steel prices. Tata Steel too has held prices; but the impact of this freeze on its margins may not be big, given that only 30 per cent of its sales is pegged to open market prices.

Though the demand for steel, as for other commodities, may moderate if global economic growth slows (with India and China also reporting a slowdown), the price outlook for steel over the medium term is still quite bright, given the sizeable demand-supply gap. This will persist as the expansion projects now underway will take time to become operational.

Consumer sentiment in India continues to decline: survey

Customized knowledge services company Boston Analytics released the Boston Analytics Consumer Sentiment Index (BACSI) for India results for the month of July. The past month registered a marginal 3.8% decrease in the BACSI, a monthly barometer of Indian consumer opinion regarding the current state and future expectations of the macro economy, household financial conditions and consumption.

The index is based on a monthly survey targeting a diverse set of demographics representative of Indian consumers. In an effort to capture the country's heterogeneity, the BACSI's July survey has been extended in terms of both geographic coverage and sample size with the inclusion of Hyderabad.

The survey is now conducted across five cities—Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, and Hyderabad—targeting a diverse set of demographics representative of Indian consumers. It addresses macro-level variables reflecting the nation's economic conditions, including indicators such as employment, inflation, interest rates and real estate.

The BACSI also studies micro-level variables such as household income, commitment towards expenditure on basic necessities (durables, automobile, and house), savings and other elements.

The BACSI for the month of June stood at 93.2, down 3.8% from the previous month's reading of 96.9. Disaggregation of the data reveals that the primary drivers of the decline in consumer sentiment were decreases in respondents' confidence in the economy and in employment conditions. Sentiment related to inflation remained pessimistic but improved relative to the June reading, most likely due to the government's highly visible campaign to combat inflation. Despite the overall composite sentiment index trending down, the consumer spending component remained strong in July.

"It appears that overall consumer sentiment in India is trending lower in a gradual manner, unlike the dramatic declines in consumer sentiment being reported in the United States and Europe," said Sam Thomas, Ph.D., Boston Analytics' director of research and development. "It is also notable that despite a worldwide slowdown in consumer spending, and continued concerns about inflation, Indian consumer attitudes toward spending remain optimistic, reflecting an upward trend in the BACSI since May."

Gas talk.Mama's boys really

After several months of war of words and legal wrangling over the contentious issue of gas supply, the warring Ambani brothers could be headed for an out of court settlement, provided their mother plays the role of the mediator once again. Anil Ambani's lawyers told the Bombay High Court on Aug. 21 that the younger of the Ambani siblings was ready to meet his elder brother Mukesh "anywhere, anytime" to resolve the long-standing dispute between the two groups.

The suggestion was made by Ram Jethmalani, the lawyer for RNRL during the course of arguments before the court over the controversial issue of gas supply from Reliance Industries' Krishna Godavari basin to the Dadri power project in Uttar Pradesh. However, he added that Anil wants Kokilaben to intervene in the matter. It may be recalled that she had played a crucial role in dividing the Reliance group's assets between the two estranged brothers in June 2005.

"We are prepared to have this particular issue decided by Kokilaben. They may meet with their mother without the lawyers," Jethmalani said. " The court can call both Mukesh and Anil to explore the possibility of an out-of-court settlement and Anil is willing to attend at a time convenient to the judges." Some weeks ago, Harish Salve, RIL's counsel had said the company is not the family property of the Ambani family and the court has no jurisdiction in altering the demerger.

"If you go by MoU approach, you will take RIL as the family property of the Ambanis. The demerger scheme was agreed upon by both the parties with open eyes. Any directions by the court in this regard will mean corporate democracy going to the dogs. The suitable arrangement must be found within the scheme and not outside it," Salve had said.

Tata Motors may move out of Singur

Tata Motors threatened to move the Nano car plant from West Bengal amid continued protests against the one-lakh-rupee car project. The investment of Rs15bn that Tata Motors has so far made in the Singur plant would not deter the company from relocating the plant to protect its employees from any violence, Chairman Ratan Tata told reporters in Kolkata. Maharashtra, Punjab and Orissa invited Tata Motors to set up the Nano plant in their states if the company decides to move out of West Bengal.

"If anybody is under the impression that because we have made this large investment of about Rs15bn, we will not move, then they are wrong. We would move whatever is the cost, to protect our people," Tata told reporters in the Oberoi Grand in Kolkata on Friday. "I've made a major investment here... to move will be at a great cost to Tata Motors and to shareholders. But, there is a concern about our people, a definite concern about not being wanted," he said.

"We don't want anybody to leave West Bengal. But we aren't really bothered whether the Tatas quit Singur," Trinamool Congress leader Mamata Banerjee said. Chief minister Buddhadeb Bhattacharjee requested all political parties to maintain harmony and allow the project to be set up in the interest of the state. "I am optimistic that the project will come up," he said. But, Banerjee is sticking to its plans for an indefinite siege at Singur from Sunday.

Her principal demand is the return of the 400 acres within the Nano complex. Local farmers, led by Trinamool Congress, allege that the state government evicted them forcibly and transferred what was fertile multi-crop land to the project for a song. The protests turned ugly as local Left supporters and farmers in favour of the project clashed with the protesters. Some 12,000 families have been affected by the project.

Tata Motors started to build its factory in Singur in January 2007 to make the world's cheapest car. The much awaited one-lakh-rupee car was unveiled in New Delhi in January this year and it was likely to hit roads by October. However, if Tata Motors does pull out of Singur, the launch could be delayed. What's worse, Tata Motors could lose around Rs5bn in the event of a relocation. Industry experts say a third of the investment in a car project is irrecoverable.

BSE Bulk Deals to Watch - Aug 22 2008

 Deal Date Scrip Code Company Client Name Deal Type * Quantity Price **
22/8/2008 531223 ANJANI SYNTH NARENDRA VALLABHJI BAHUVA B 115644 50.68
22/8/2008 531223 ANJANI SYNTH NARENDRA VALLABHJI BAHUVA S 114339 50.88
22/8/2008 506074 ARSHIYA INTL MERRILL LYNCH CAPITAL MARKETS ESPANA S A SV B 1500000 165.00
22/8/2008 506074 ARSHIYA INTL FRANKLIN TEMPLETON M F AC FRANKLIN INDIA SMALLER COMPANIES FUND S 521040 165.00
22/8/2008 504000 ELPRO INTERN INDIA MAX INVESTMENT FUND LTD. B 34367 599.34
22/8/2008 531137 GEMSTONE INV HEMANT MADHUSUDAN SHETH S 15000 52.50
22/8/2008 531739 GENNEX LAB UDEY DUTT ASSOCIATES PVT LTD B 150000 54.14
22/8/2008 531739 GENNEX LAB KUBERSWAMY ASHUTOSH GONSULTANTS PVT LTD B 200000 53.49
22/8/2008 531602 KOFF BR PICT LAXMI CAP BROKING PVT LTD B 25000 29.08
22/8/2008 531602 KOFF BR PICT LAXMI CAP BROKING PVT LTD S 39731 28.13
22/8/2008 532649 NECTAR LIFE AASHKA CONSTRUCTION PVT LTD B 93488 378.80
22/8/2008 532649 NECTAR LIFE AASHKA CONSTRUCTION PVT LTD S 93488 377.51
22/8/2008 532912 NET 4 INDIA ADVANCE INDIA SECURITIES S 180000 71.91
22/8/2008 531272 NIKKI GLOB F ASHOK KUMAR SIROHI S 20000 7.90
22/8/2008 502587 RAMA PUL PAP KARAN HADVANI S 50679 17.14
22/8/2008 502587 RAMA PUL PAP JYOTIKABEN MAHESHBHAI HADVANI S 49825 16.99
22/8/2008 532886 SEL MANUF MBL AND COMPANY LIMITED B 83257 279.83
22/8/2008 532886 SEL MANUF B K SHAH CO B 100510 278.52
22/8/2008 532886 SEL MANUF MBL AND COMPANY LIMITED S 83257 280.87
22/8/2008 532886 SEL MANUF B K SHAH CO S 100518 278.11
22/8/2008 505075 SETCO AUTO SETCO ENGINEERING PVT LTD B 60200 179.50
22/8/2008 505075 SETCO AUTO SNEHA HARISH SHETH S 60200 179.50
22/8/2008 533014 SICAGEN IND MEENAL NITISH THAKUR B 204023 17.54
22/8/2008 533014 SICAGEN IND MEENAL NITISH THAKUR S 204023 17.55
22/8/2008 532356 TRIVENI ENGI NALANDA INDIA FUND LIMITED B 8000000 102.50
22/8/2008 532356 TRIVENI ENGI LB INDIA HOLDINGS CAYMAN II LTD S 8000000 102.50
22/8/2008 532360 VINTAGE CARD ALKA SAMEER DOSHI B 8340 72.76
22/8/2008 532360 VINTAGE CARD SAILAJA KASIBATTA B 11549 72.56
22/8/2008 532360 VINTAGE CARD NIKUNJ K SHAH B 3193 74.29
22/8/2008 532360 VINTAGE CARD BANSILAL RATILAL THAKKAR B 5780 74.10
22/8/2008 532360 VINTAGE CARD MEENAL NITISH THAKUR B 26278 72.37
22/8/2008 532360 VINTAGE CARD YUVAK SHARE TRADING PVT LTD B 27326 71.11
22/8/2008 532360 VINTAGE CARD CH SRINIVASARAO B 3000 76.20
22/8/2008 532360 VINTAGE CARD PARESH KANJIBHAI SONI B 5000 75.57
22/8/2008 532360 VINTAGE CARD ALKA SAMEER DOSHI S 8340 72.27
22/8/2008 532360 VINTAGE CARD SAILAJA KASIBATTA S 11549 73.95
22/8/2008 532360 VINTAGE CARD NIKUNJ K SHAH S 3193 74.30
22/8/2008 532360 VINTAGE CARD BANSILAL RATILAL THAKKAR S 5780 73.84
22/8/2008 532360 VINTAGE CARD MEENAL NITISH THAKUR S 26278 74.36
22/8/2008 532360 VINTAGE CARD YUVAK SHARE TRADING PVT LTD S 12154 75.80
22/8/2008 532360 VINTAGE CARD CH SRINIVASARAO S 3000 74.53
22/8/2008 533011 VISHAL INFO EUREKA STOCK AND SHARE BROKING SERVICES LTD B 179548 315.92
22/8/2008 533011 VISHAL INFO R M SHARES TRADING PVT LTD B 231172 317.88
22/8/2008 533011 VISHAL INFO NAVEEN TAPARIA B 78001 318.86
22/8/2008 533011 VISHAL INFO YUVAK SHARE TRADING PVT LTD B 71252 316.00
22/8/2008 533011 VISHAL INFO EUREKA STOCK AND SHARE BROKING SERVICES LTD S 179548 316.03
22/8/2008 533011 VISHAL INFO R M SHARES TRADING PVT LTD S 231172 318.09
22/8/2008 533011 VISHAL INFO NAVEEN TAPARIA S 78001 317.11
22/8/2008 533011 VISHAL INFO YUVAK SHARE TRADING PVT LTD S 70656 315.60
22/8/2008 519602 VMF SOFT TEC PENUMATCHA INDUSTRIES LTD B 100000 5.73
22/8/2008 519602 VMF SOFT TEC P.KRISHNAM RAJU B 60000 5.90
22/8/2008 519602 VMF SOFT TEC KOTHAMASU LAKSHMAN RAO S 60000 5.90
22/8/2008 519602 VMF SOFT TEC V.S.R.K. PRASAD S 40127 5.73
22/8/2008 519602 VMF SOFT TEC CHANDRA SEKHARARAO GORREPATI S 60000 5.73
22/8/2008 531249 WELL PACK PA SANTOSH SHAHRA B 150000 16.29
22/8/2008 531249 WELL PACK PA WELL FIN SECURITIES LIMITED S 150000 16.29

NSE Bulk Deals to Watch - Aug 22 2008

Date,Symbol,Security Name,Client Name,Buy/Sell,Quantity Traded,Trade Price / Wght. Avg. Price,Remarks
22-AUG-2008,DIGJAM,Digjam Limited,BIRLA HOLDINGS LTD,BUY,600000,10.65,-
22-AUG-2008,OCTAV,Octav Investments Limited,VINOD SHARES LIMITED,BUY,24896,72.58,-
22-AUG-2008,SELMCL,SEL Manufacturing Company,B K SHAH CO KETAN BHAILAL SHAH,BUY,110623,275.85,-
22-AUG-2008,SELMCL,SEL Manufacturing Company,MBL & COMPANY LTD.,BUY,111663,279.36,-
22-AUG-2008,SELMCL,SEL Manufacturing Company,YUVAK SHARE TRADING PVT LTD,BUY,84556,277.87,-
22-AUG-2008,SICAGEN,Sicagen India Limited,TRANSGLOBAL SECURITIES LTD.,BUY,293727,17.85,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,A.N. FINANCIALS,BUY,16173,72.19,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ABDUL KADIR,BUY,3300,73.44,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ADROIT FINANCIAL SERVICES PVT LTD,BUY,42624,72.82,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,AGRAWAL ANKUSH,BUY,5000,70.43,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,AJAY KETAN UPADHYAYA,BUY,4750,74.55,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ALKA SAMEER DOSHI,BUY,8117,72.65,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ALOK GUPTA,BUY,13926,73.78,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ALOK MAHESHWARI,BUY,5809,71.43,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ANAND NARAIN SINGH,BUY,4500,73.45,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ANKIT AGARWAL,BUY,5000,76.96,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ANKITA VISHAL SHAH,BUY,4566,75.65,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ARINDAM SARKAR,BUY,3843,75.04,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ASHA.S.C,BUY,3000,74.93,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ASHOK KUMAR,BUY,1352,75.23,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ASHUTOSH AGARWAL,BUY,65,70.16,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ASHWIN KUMAR JAIN B,BUY,4000,74.88,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,BANSILAL RATILAL THAKKAR,BUY,4219,73.61,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,BESTO TRADE COM PVT LTD,BUY,3336,73.55,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,BHARAT SECURITIES PVT LTD,BUY,5408,74.72,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,C SHAH MAHENDRA,BUY,3459,74.50,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,CPR CAPITAL SERVICES LTD.,BUY,34963,72.74,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,DEEPAK B DESAI,BUY,7099,72.65,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,DILWINDER SINGH,BUY,4000,73.46,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,DINESH MUNJAL,BUY,12132,72.29,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,GUMMADY PITHCHAIAH CHOWDARY,BUY,5300,72.47,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,JAWAHAR SINGH PAHAL,BUY,10500,72.73,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,K MOHAN,BUY,3000,74.08,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,K. K. FINSTOCK,BUY,12281,73.37,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,KOHLI VISHAL,BUY,5919,75.00,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,KUPPUSWAMY SELVAKUMAR,BUY,4800,75.58,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,LALITA RAJESH JAIN,BUY,3989,74.36,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,MBL & COMPANY LTD.,BUY,3965,72.68,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,MEHTA VIRENDRA KUMAR,BUY,14076,76.06,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,MENDOZA KEVIN CLETTUS MENDOZA,BUY,5500,74.06,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,MLB CAPITAL PVT LTD,BUY,3012,75.08,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,MODEX INTERNATIONAL SECURITIES LIMITED,BUY,11967,73.24,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,MUDUPULAVEMULA SURENDRANADHA REDDY,BUY,18849,72.34,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,N RAVI KUMAR,BUY,3608,73.80,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,NAMAN SECURITIES & FINANCE PVT LTD,BUY,6011,75.13,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,NIKUNJ K SHAH,BUY,2111,77.46,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,PATEL ARUNABEN BHARATBHAI,BUY,4000,74.93,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,PAWAN KUMAR,BUY,3202,74.78,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,PAWAN TALUJA,BUY,7500,72.01,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,PITCHUMANI R,BUY,3800,74.69,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,POOSHANAMURTHY S,BUY,3200,73.39,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,PRAGATI PAPER MILLS LTD,BUY,12529,73.85,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,PRAVEENKUMAR CHORDIA,BUY,3907,73.37,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,PRITOM HAZARIKA,BUY,8000,73.54,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,PRIYANK SHARMA,BUY,3000,75.25,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,RAHUL DOSHI,BUY,18187,77.50,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,RAHUL KUNVARJI NISHAR,BUY,10444,73.96,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,RAJAGOPAL NONDA,BUY,4000,72.99,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,RAKESH NATWARLAL VORA,BUY,6669,72.60,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,RAMACHANDRAN C S,BUY,3000,72.76,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,RAMCHAND SOBHRAJ KIMATRAI,BUY,5794,73.06,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,RANJU SARKAR,BUY,4000,70.70,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,S RAMAMOORTHY,BUY,3176,69.96,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,S SRINIVAS,BUY,6660,76.37,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,SANDEEP SURANA,BUY,5001,77.45,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,SATYA FINANCIAL SERVICES PROP ADARSH KUMAR AGGARWAL,BUY,5076,71.40,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,SAVEREY PADMANABHA RAO BALAKRISHNAN,BUY,3000,74.77,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,SHARMA RAM KUMAR,BUY,3600,74.50,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,SHILPA B C,BUY,5000,74.72,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,SMITA M PATEL,BUY,8000,73.80,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,SPIRE ASSOCIATES,BUY,24285,72.89,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,SURAJ CHAURASIYA,BUY,4000,69.89,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,TRANSGLOBAL SECURITIES LTD.,BUY,9849,73.52,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,UDAY KUMAR REDDY MEKA,BUY,3000,74.58,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,VENKATESHWARAN R,BUY,6816,74.80,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,VIMALA.S.,BUY,6163,71.62,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,VINAY GIRISHKUMAR SHAH,BUY,3701,74.38,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,YUVAK SHARE TRADING PVT LTD,BUY,21170,75.25,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,AMBIT SECURITIES BROKING PVT. LTD.,BUY,122093,316.41,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,ASIT C MEHTA INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD,BUY,263119,317.66,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,CHOKHANI SECURITIES LTD,BUY,148680,314.28,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,DINESH MUNJAL,BUY,77616,319.84,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,HARBUX SINGH SIDHU,BUY,55536,323.90,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,KAUSHIK SHAH SHARES & SECURITIES PVT LTD,BUY,118379,316.86,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,MARWADI SHARES AND FINANCE LIMITED,BUY,56359,310.36,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,NIMIT JAYENDRA SHAH,BUY,72740,319.04,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,PRASHANT JAYANTILAL PATEL,BUY,142743,319.80,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,R.M. SHARE TRADING PVT LTD,BUY,214361,317.29,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,TRANSGLOBAL SECURITIES LTD.,BUY,77109,317.24,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,YUVAK SHARE TRADING PVT LTD,BUY,123512,314.81,-
22-AUG-2008,DIGJAM,Digjam Limited,CHAND RATAN MODI,SELL,600000,10.65,-
22-AUG-2008,OCTAV,Octav Investments Limited,VINOD SHARES LIMITED,SELL,24896,72.40,-
22-AUG-2008,SELMCL,SEL Manufacturing Company,B K SHAH CO KETAN BHAILAL SHAH,SELL,110628,276.00,-
22-AUG-2008,SELMCL,SEL Manufacturing Company,MBL & COMPANY LTD.,SELL,111663,278.66,-
22-AUG-2008,SELMCL,SEL Manufacturing Company,YUVAK SHARE TRADING PVT LTD,SELL,84560,278.46,-
22-AUG-2008,SICAGEN,Sicagen India Limited,TRANSGLOBAL SECURITIES LTD.,SELL,293727,17.83,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,A.N. FINANCIALS,SELL,16173,73.11,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ABDUL KADIR,SELL,3300,73.45,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ADROIT FINANCIAL SERVICES PVT LTD,SELL,42624,72.88,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,AGRAWAL ANKUSH,SELL,5000,75.63,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ALKA SAMEER DOSHI,SELL,8117,73.61,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ALOK GUPTA,SELL,13926,73.89,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ALOK MAHESHWARI,SELL,5809,72.19,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ANAND NARAIN SINGH,SELL,4500,73.84,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ANKIT AGARWAL,SELL,3000,71.21,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ANKITA VISHAL SHAH,SELL,6566,74.63,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ARINDAM SARKAR,SELL,3843,75.63,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ASHA.S.C,SELL,3000,71.39,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ASHOK KUMAR,SELL,3352,76.89,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ASHUTOSH AGARWAL,SELL,4065,73.39,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,ASHWIN KUMAR JAIN B,SELL,4000,73.34,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,BANSILAL RATILAL THAKKAR,SELL,4219,74.42,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,BESTO TRADE COM PVT LTD,SELL,3336,72.04,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,BHARAT SECURITIES PVT LTD,SELL,5408,75.10,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,C SHAH MAHENDRA,SELL,3459,74.25,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,CPR CAPITAL SERVICES LTD.,SELL,34963,73.09,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,DEEPAK B DESAI,SELL,7099,73.61,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,DHIREN B SANGHVI,SELL,3000,73.03,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,DILWINDER SINGH,SELL,4000,74.00,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,DINESH MUNJAL,SELL,12132,72.29,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,GUMMADY PITHCHAIAH CHOWDARY,SELL,5300,72.99,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,JAWAHAR SINGH PAHAL,SELL,10500,73.04,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,K MOHAN,SELL,3000,73.54,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,K. K. FINSTOCK,SELL,12281,73.81,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,KOHLI VISHAL,SELL,3839,72.40,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,KUPPUSWAMY SELVAKUMAR,SELL,4800,73.34,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,LALITA RAJESH JAIN,SELL,3989,74.14,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,MBL & COMPANY LTD.,SELL,3965,72.86,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,MEHTA VIRENDRA KUMAR,SELL,14076,74.32,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,MENDOZA KEVIN CLETTUS MENDOZA,SELL,5500,72.21,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,MLB CAPITAL PVT LTD,SELL,2712,71.80,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,MODEX INTERNATIONAL SECURITIES LIMITED,SELL,11227,73.08,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,MUDUPULAVEMULA SURENDRANADHA REDDY,SELL,18849,73.34,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,N RAVI KUMAR,SELL,3808,74.72,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,NAMAN SECURITIES & FINANCE PVT LTD,SELL,7864,74.60,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,NIKUNJ K SHAH,SELL,4111,75.70,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,PATEL ARUNABEN BHARATBHAI,SELL,4000,72.77,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,PAWAN KUMAR,SELL,3202,74.49,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,PAWAN TALUJA,SELL,7500,72.54,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,PITCHUMANI R,SELL,3800,76.67,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,POOSHANAMURTHY S,SELL,3200,69.64,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,PRAGATI PAPER MILLS LTD,SELL,12529,74.33,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,PRAVEENKUMAR CHORDIA,SELL,3907,73.72,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,PRITOM HAZARIKA,SELL,8000,73.47,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,PRIYANK SHARMA,SELL,3000,77.31,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,RAHUL DOSHI,SELL,10030,77.20,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,RAHUL KUNVARJI NISHAR,SELL,10444,74.75,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,RAJAGOPAL NONDA,SELL,4000,74.39,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,RAKESH NATWARLAL VORA,SELL,6669,72.78,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,RAMACHANDRAN C S,SELL,3000,77.55,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,RAMCHAND SOBHRAJ KIMATRAI,SELL,5794,72.58,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,RANJU SARKAR,SELL,4000,71.83,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,S RAMAMOORTHY,SELL,3176,72.46,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,S SRINIVAS,SELL,7380,75.49,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,SANDEEP SURANA,SELL,5001,69.56,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,SATYA FINANCIAL SERVICES PROP ADARSH KUMAR AGGARWAL,SELL,5076,71.56,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,SAVEREY PADMANABHA RAO BALAKRISHNAN,SELL,3000,74.19,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,SHARMA RAM KUMAR,SELL,3600,72.53,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,SHILPA B C,SELL,5000,73.98,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,SMITA M PATEL,SELL,8000,72.43,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,SPIRE ASSOCIATES,SELL,24285,72.82,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,SURAJ CHAURASIYA,SELL,4000,70.62,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,TRANSGLOBAL SECURITIES LTD.,SELL,9849,73.00,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,UDAY KUMAR REDDY MEKA,SELL,3000,77.50,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,VENKATESHWARAN R,SELL,5816,72.81,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,VIMALA.S.,SELL,6163,70.71,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,VINAY GIRISHKUMAR SHAH,SELL,3701,74.69,-
22-AUG-2008,VINCARDS,Vintage Cards & Creations,YUVAK SHARE TRADING PVT LTD,SELL,22470,74.16,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,AMBIT SECURITIES BROKING PVT. LTD.,SELL,122093,316.65,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,ASIT C MEHTA INVESTMENT INTERRMEDIATES LTD,SELL,263119,317.91,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,CHOKHANI SECURITIES LTD,SELL,148680,314.95,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,DINESH MUNJAL,SELL,77616,319.94,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,HARBUX SINGH SIDHU,SELL,55536,323.99,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,KAUSHIK SHAH SHARES & SECURITIES PVT LTD,SELL,118377,317.06,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,MARWADI SHARES AND FINANCE LIMITED,SELL,56259,310.44,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,NIMIT JAYENDRA SHAH,SELL,72740,318.98,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,PRASHANT JAYANTILAL PATEL,SELL,142743,320.13,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,R.M. SHARE TRADING PVT LTD,SELL,214361,317.32,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,TRANSGLOBAL SECURITIES LTD.,SELL,77109,317.01,-
22-AUG-2008,VITLINFO,Vishal Information Techno,YUVAK SHARE TRADING PVT LTD,SELL,123923,314.92,-

Post Session Commentary - Aug 22 2008

The domestic market rebounded from earlier losses to close in positive territory on the back of sustained buying in key stocks. Market opened on negative note tracking weak cues from Asian markets along with rise in crude oil prices and higher inflation number that stood at 12.63% for the week ended 9th August 2008 as against 12.44% previous week. Crude oil raised by $5.96 to $121.61 per barrel on New York Mercantile Exchange. Further market turned volatile as investors took calculative steps to book their positions. Strong buying in key stocks forced market to gain some ground since mid session and further market extended its gains till end. Favorable cues from European markets helped markets to remain positive in second half of session. NSE Nifty ended above 4,300 mark and BSE Sensex above 14,400 level. From the sectoral front, buying was seen in Metal, Oil & Gas, Bank, Consumer Durables and Auto stock. Mid caps also recovered to end in green while Small caps stocks closed lower. The market breadth was negative as 1414 stocks closed in red, 1209 stocks closed in green while 102 stocks remained unchanged.

Inflation for the week ended 9th august 2008, stood at 12.63% from 12.44% of previous week. Inflation was 4.24% during the corresponding week last year. This rise, which is 16 year high is mainly due to increase in prices of food items like fruits, vegetables and milk. Price of cotton yarn was up by eight% during the week and polyester became dearer by seven%.

The NSG is discussing to approve India to share US Nuclear Technology. The second round of deliberations will start today and India is confident of getting a waiver from strict export guidelines by Saturday. The NSG waiver for India will mean the government can enter into nuclear commerce with countries like Russia and France, despite results of the 123 Agreement on the Indo-US civilian nuclear co-operation in the US Congress.

The BSE Sensex closed higher by 157.76 points at 14,401.59 and NSE Nifty ended up by 43.60 points at 4,327.45. The BSE Mid Cap closed with gains of 19.39 points at 5,726.85 while Small Cap down by 11.17 points at 6,925.85. The BSE Sensex touched intraday high of 14,428.52 and intraday low of 14,136.86.

Gainers from the BSE are Sterlite In (4.34%), Hindalco (4.26%), HUL (3.73%), HDFC (3.22%), BHEL (2.76%), Tata Power Co (2.65%), Reliance Infra (2.53%), HDFC Bank Ltd (2.48%) and Maruti Suzuki (2.18%).

The BSE Metal index ended up by 197.02 points at 12,363.93. Gainers are SAIL (4.40%), Sterlite In (4.34%), Hindalco (4.26%), Ispat Indus (2.00%), Hindustan Zinc (1.71%), and Nalco (1.16%).

The BSE Oil & Gas index gained 103.54 points to close at 9,941.66. As Reliance Petroleum (2.03%), Cairn India (1.65%), Reliance (1.51%), Reliance Natural Resources (1.38%), Essar Oil Ltd (1.37%) and ONGC (0.69%) closed in positive territory.

The BSE Bank index advanced 77.85 points to close at 6,655.76. Major gainers are Axis Bank (4.75%), Kotak Bank (3.38%), HDFC Bank Ltd (2.48%), IDBI Bank Ltd (2.37%), Bank of India (1.98%) and IOC (1.46%).

The BSE Consumer Durables index gained 42.60 points to close at 3,798.75. Major gainers are Titan Indi (4.54%), Rajesh Export (1.22%), Blue Star L (0.17%) and Videocon Ind (0.02%).

The BSE Auto index closed higher 39.34 points at 3,839.52. Gainers are Exide Indus (4.30%), Maruti Suzuki (2.18%) Tata Motors (1.83%), Bajaj Auto (1.80%), Ashok Leyland (0.95%), and Hero Honda Motors (0.42%).

The BSE Reality index closed marginally lower by 0.09 points at 4,944.73. Lossers are Ansal Infra (4.38%), Indiabull Real (3.21%), Orbit Co (2.76%), Unitech Ltd (0.84%), Penland Ltd Ltd (0.30%), and Mahindra life (0.28%).

Volatility may rise ahead of derivatives expiry

The market may remain under pressure next week after inflation recorded fastest rise in more than 16 years in early August 2008, increasing the likelihood of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raising interest rates again.

With no major key events scheduled in the forthcoming week, the market will closely watch global stock market cues. But it may turn volatile on account of expiry of August 2008 derivatives contracts on Thursday, 28 August 2008.

The wholesale price index rose 12.63% in 12 months to 9 August 2008, above the previous week's annual rise of 12.44%, government data released on Thursday, 21 August 2008, showed. Inflation for the week ended 14 June 2008 was revised upwards to 11.80% from 11.42%.

Rising inflation rate has dashed hopes of any relaxation in the monetary policy. Market expects Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to raise the rates further in its next monetary policy review two months from now.

On 29 July 2008, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), at its quarterly policy review, raised repo rate by 50 basis points to a seven-year high of 9% to curb inflation and dampen inflationary expectations. RBI also raised the cash reserve ratio (CRR), the proportion of funds that banks must keep on deposit with it, by 25 basis points to 9%.

Market will closely watch developments on the Indo-US nuclear deal. A two-day meeting of the 45 countries of the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) began in Vienna on Thursday, 21 August 2008. A green signal by the NSG is required for the deal to proceed to the US Congress for final ratification. As per reports, nuclear supplier nations at a meeting on Thursday, 21 August 2008, proposed conditions for lifting a global ban on fuel and technology exports to India, a step required to implement a US-India nuclear cooperation deal.

A further rise in crude oil prices may act as a dampener for the stock markets. Light, sweet crude for September 2008 delivery surged $5.62 to $121.18 a barrel on Thursday, 21 August 2008 on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) on weaker dollar and worries about tightening output from OPEC countries.

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) sold shares worth Rs 831.40 crore in August 2008 (till 20 August 2008). FIIs sold shares worth Rs 28,133.40 crore in the calendar year 2008. Mutual funds sold shares worth Rs 886 crore in August 2008 (till 20 August 2008).

Govt worried about inflation

The government on Friday said it was was increasingly concerned that there was no let up in inflation, while blaming part of the surge in wholesale prices on the base year effect.

"Wholesale Price Index (based inflation) continues to be a matter of concern...(but) without underplaying the seriousness of the concern, we wish to place the matter in perspective," said a statement issued by the Finance Ministry.

Base effect relates to inflation in the year-ago period, wherein if the rate of prices was too low, even a small rise in WPI now would arithmetically lead to a huge rise in inflation numbers.

"The annual point-to-point inflation is largely influenced by the trend in the corresponding week of the previous year, which is the base year," the statement said, explaining that in the previous year there was a decline in the price index from 4.39 percent to 4.24 percent.

This trend may continue till October-November this year, as the index had declined up to November 24, 2007.

The statement said the other part of the problem was supply side and noted that prices of fruits, vegetables, milk, tea etc are largely governed by localised supply demand factors and any other local disruptions like rain etc.

It is the movement of prices of these items that are impacting the prices of primary articles, it added.

Metal shares rise as market clocks modest gains

Key benchmark indices recovered some of yesterday's (21 August 2008) steep losses. The market extended gains in late trade to touch intra-day high before paring gains. The BSE Sensex provisionally rose 140 points. Hindalco Industries and Sterlite Industries rose more than 4% each, as metal prices rose on the London Metal Exchange (LME).

European markets were in green. France's CAC 40, Germany's DAX and UK's FTSE 100 were up between 0.59% to 1%.

India's wholesale prices index rose 12.63% in the year through 9 August 2008, up from the previous week's 12.44% rise, data released by the government after trading hours on Thursday, 21 August 2008, showed.

Oil price surged. Light, sweet crude for September 2008 delivery surged $5.62 to $121.18 a barrel yesterday, 21 August 2008 on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) on weaker dollar and worries about tightening output from OPEC countries.

Meanwhile, as per reports, nuclear supplier nations at a meeting in Vienna on Thursday, 21 August 2008, proposed conditions for lifting a global ban on fuel and technology exports to India, a step required to implement a US-India nuclear cooperation deal. A green light from the 45-nation Nuclear Suppliers Group is needed for the deal to proceed to the US Congress for final ratification.

The BSE 30-share Sensex provisionally ended up 139.64 points or 0.98% to 14,383.37. The market had staged a comeback from early lows as heavyweights rebounded. A rally in crude oil prices weighed on the sentiment in opening trade.

Sensex opened 90.34 points lower at 14,153.39 and slipped further to a low of 14,136.86 in early trade. At the day's low, the Sensex lost 106.87 points. At the day's high of 14,428.52 points hit in late trade, the Sensex gained 184.79 points.

The S&P CNX Nifty was up 64.17 points or 0.84% to 4,319.65 as per the provisional figures.

BSE clocked a turnover of Rs 4,041 crore today as compared to a turnover of Rs 4,134.96 crore on 21 August 2008.

The market breadth was negative on BSE with 1414 shares declining as compared to 1,204 that advanced. 105 remained unchanged.

Among the 30-member Sensex pack, 21 gained while the rest of them slipped.

India's largest private sector firm by market capitalization and oil refiner Reliance Industries (RIL) rose 1.43% at Rs 2,244, off day's low of Rs 2191. The Bombay High Court on Thursday, 21 August 2008, suggested that the warring Ambani brothers go back to their mother Kokilaben and have the dispute settled.

The division bench of Justices JN Patel and KK Tated are hearing the dispute between the Anil-Ambani controlled Reliance Natural Resources (RNRL) and Mukesh Ambani's Reliance Industries (RIL) over supply of natural gas from the later's eastern offshore Krishna-Godavari gas fields. Ram Jethmalani, counsel for RNRL, said Anil Ambani was ready to meet his elder brother any time, any place. The case hearing has been adjourned to 1 September 2008.

BSE Metal index rose 1.44% to 12,342.70 and was the top gainer from sectoral indices on BSE. Metal shares rose tracking rally in global metal prices. Steel Authority of India (up 5.02% to Rs 151.60), Sterlite Industries (up 4.21% to Rs 626), Hindalco Industries (up 4.03% to Rs 134.25), Hindustan Zinc (up 1.71% to Rs 576.40), National Aluminum Company (up 0.26% to Rs 387.90), and Tata Steel (up 0.87% to Rs 594.45) edged higher.

Hindustan Unilever (up 3.73% to Rs 244.85), HDFC (up 3.22% to Rs 2280.65), Bharat Heavy Electricals (up 2.76% to Rs 1,715.95), Reliance Infrastructure (up 2.53% to Rs 978.85), Tata Power Company (up 2.65% to Rs 1,050.75), Infosys (up 1.84% to Rs 1,695.05) edged higher from the Sensex pack.

Satyam Computer Services (down 3.18% to Rs 386.40), NTPC (down 2.54% to Rs 169.10), Grasim Industries (down 1.85% to Rs 1,929.10), Larsen & Toubro (down 0.88% to Rs 2,604.90), Wipro (down 0.93% to Rs 417.55) edged lower from the Sensex pack.

India's second largest telecom services provider by sales Reliance Communications gained 1.86% to Rs 405.75 on reports the contentious issue of interconnection with GSM operators has been resolved. Reliance Communications (RCom) is launching its global system for mobile (GSM) services shortly. The issue of interconnection through which subscribers of one operator can talk to subscribers of another operator was reportedly resolved in a meeting between the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) and operators on Thursday, 21 August 2008.

Most of the Asian markets were trading lower today, 22 August 2008. Key benchmark indices in China, Japan, Taiwan and South Korea were down by between 0.1% and 1.09%. Singapore's Straits Times rose 0.03%.

US stocks finished mixed on Thursday, 21 August 2008, after investors largely shrugged off a jump in oil prices and focused instead on a bullish call on Lehman Brothers Holdings that eased worries about the financial sector. The Dow Jones industrial average gained 12.78 points, or 0.11%, to 11,430.21. The S&P 500 index advanced 3.18 points, or 0.25%, to 1,277.72, and the Nasdaq Composite index slipped 8.70 points, or 0.36%, to 2,380.38.